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May 24, 2014

Another one for the analytical mind:

Pakistan's "India" Arithmetic under new leadership
  
Some articles from "intellectuals" have been already covered:
http://www.asiandefencenews.com/2014/05/what-is-meaning-of-your-reputation.html



Managing Modi  - by Retired air-vice marshal of the Pakistan Air Force and served as its deputy chief of staff. 

Quoting from his article
http://www.thenews.com.pk/Todays-News-9-251753-Managing-Modi


"To the dismay of many in Pakistan, let me suggest that if Modi gets his act together, he will take India places. India will change, perhaps finally realising its dream and potential, as will its polity. India will never be the same again; this remains my considered opinion. He is that kind of fellow. "


"How might then Pakistan manage him? The first apprehension is will he war with Pakistan. Here is how it will go. He will begin with an immediate assessment of what his armed forces will need to gain an assured level of readiness – armed forces are always short of what they assume is absolute readiness; remember the nine months that Manekshaw needed before the 1971 war, or how the Indian army dithered after Mumbai from a reprisal action. 
{Already started 
Armed with Presentations, Military Chiefs Prep to Meet Narendra Modi
http://www.ndtv.com/article/india/armed-with-presentations-military-chiefs-prep-to-meet-narendra-modi-529069 }


"Modi’s aim will not be to seek a war. But come another situation like Mumbai 2008, he would like his military to respond with effect; of that there should be little confusion. Pakistan will then need to evolve its own plan to first deter and then respond to such a reprisal. That will put them both on a slippery slope of escalation dominance."




"Tailpiece: In a master stroke Modi has invited Nawaz Sharif to his inauguration. That is enough to test the mettle of Pakistan’s leadership. If Nawaz goes he will need the acumen to dominate his first interaction with Modi. Otherwise he is coming back with a clearer enunciation of how Modi would like Nawaz to respond to his concerns. Devil and the deep blue sea, is it?"

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